Unemployment Fluctuations and Stabilization Policies: A New by Jordi Galí

By Jordi Galí

The prior fifteen years have witnessed the increase of the hot Keynesian version as a framework of reference for the research of fluctuations and stabilization rules. That framework, which mixes the rigor and inner consistency of dynamic common equilibrium types with such often Keynesian assumptions as monopolistic pageant and nominal rigidities, makes attainable a significant, welfare-based research of the results of economic coverage principles. however the conspicuous absence of unemployment from the traditional New Keynesian version has given upward push to either feedback and makes an attempt to rectify this anomaly. during this booklet, Jordi Gal?, one of many significant participants to the hot Keynesian literature, deals a brand new method of introducing unemployment into that framework. Gal?'s technique comprises a reinterpretation of the exertions industry within the commonplace New Keynesian version with staggered salary environment (rather than a amendment or extension of the version, as has been proposed by means of others). The ensuing framework preserves the benefit of the consultant family paradigm and permits one to figure out the equilibrium degrees of employment, the hard work strength, and for this reason the unemployment expense conditional at the financial coverage in position. Gal? develops the elemental version, embedding it in a customary New Keynesian framework with staggered expense and salary environment; revisits the courting among fiscal fluctuations and potency throughout the lens of the new version, constructing a degree of the output hole; and analyzes the relation among unemployment and the layout of economic coverage.

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Additional info for Unemployment Fluctuations and Stabilization Policies: A New Keynesian Perspective (Zeuthen Lectures)

Example text

The advantage, nevertheless lies in the transparency associated with the model’s simplicity and its focus on the key elements behind the issue of interest. 1 reports the values assumed for the different parameters in the baseline calibration. Each period is assumed to correspond to a quarter. The setting chosen for many of the parameters is standard. 99. 99 Parameter α, measuring the degree of decreasing returns to labor, is set to 1/4. 5 percent. Together with the calibration of α, this is consistent with a steady state labor income share of 2/3, which is close to the average labor income share observed in the US and the euro area.

Notice that output rises and inflation declines, as would be expected in response to such a shock. However, and in contrast with the predictions of a standard search and matching model, the unemployment rate increases, and substantially so, in response to an improvement in technology. That increase is largely the result of a drop in employment, hardly muted by the small decline in the labor force. 7 Notice also that the real wage rises gradually, a natural consequence of the 7. See Gal´ı (1999), Basu, Fernald, and Kimball (2006), Francis and Ramey (2005), and Gal´ı and Rabanal (2004), among others, for evidence of a decline in labor input, with a focus on hours rather than employment.

Thus price inflation is driven by current and expected deviations of average price markups from desired markups. 14). Having derived the optimal wage and price setting rules and their implications for aggregate wage and price inflation, I turn to the model’s market clearing conditions and a description of its equilibrium. 3 Equilibrium Equilibrium in the goods market requires C t (z) = Yt (z) for all z ∈ [0, 1]. Define aggregate output as Yt ≡ 1 0 Yt (z)1−(1/ p) dz p /( p −1) , so it follows that Ct = Yt .

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