Adjustment in Africa: lessons from country case studies by Ishrat Husain, Rashid Faruquee

By Ishrat Husain, Rashid Faruquee

The ebook offers case experiences of Burundi, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal and Tanzania - all selected for the big variety of stipulations current prior to their person adjustment programmes begun. The reports ascertain that at any time when adjustment programmes are vigorously pursued, effects are strongly optimistic from the viewpoints of development and relief of poverty. A key point in making sure a profitable adjustment programme is powerful motivation and dedication by means of the management of every state. Too many abrupt, unpredictable and widespread adjustments and reversals of guidelines erode the credibility of the programmes, accentuate the uncertainties, and decelerate investor self belief. in brief, the luck of reforms hinges on coverage balance, continuity and predictability.

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From 1981 to 1984 the economic situation went from bad to worse due to a further deterioration in the terms of trade, the continuation of expansionary fiscal and monetary policies, and a prolongation of the drought. Real GDP growth, which had averaged 5 percent a year during 197881, grew by less than 1 percent during 198284. 7 percent of GDP (up from 13 percent the previous year and 2 percent in 1978). 4 percent the following year. The real effective exchange rate of the Burundi franc (FBu) appreciated by 8 percent in 1983, penalizing agricultural exports and encouraging consumption of imported goods.

2. The result for Tanzania is surprising, and the Food and Agriculture Organization data used for Tanzanian food production do not appear to be consistent with the import and retail price data. Food imports in Tanzania were about 300,000 tons on average during 198185. Real consumer prices of maize, beans, and rice in the major urban centers declined, and food aid for Tanzania fell by nearly 70 percent. This suggests that per capita food production has risen, and the data in the case study support this finding.

And Tanzania is preparing for multiparty elections in 1995. Page viii These drastic changes in the political and economic environment have created uncertainty about the future direction of economic policies. As the report notes, economic recovery was still fragile in most of these countries, and the ensuing uncertainty has made the situation even more difficult. The path to economic progress and revival is now much better understood in Africa than at any time before, but managing this change has proved difficult.

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